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Energy Market Comment - The Natural Gas Rout

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Tuesday, April 3. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
There is no doubt in anyone’s mind that the natural gas market has taken a beating. But is the rout almost over or has it just begun? In what could turn out to be a historic swoon, it is clear that at some point something has got to give. The natural gas market is running out of space to put supply and the system will soon get clogged so it is becoming more obvious that the only thing that can fix this market is perhaps an epic price collapse. We have to get gas out of the system and based ...

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Energy Market Comment - Slip Sliding Away!

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Monday, April 2. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
The Energy Report for Monday, April 2, 2012

Oil prices failed to get a boost on the better than expected official Chinese PMI data, perhaps because the data in Europe was bit mixed. In China the official Purchasing Manager Index from the government came in at 53.1 in March, up from 51 from February. The March reading in the official report was the fourth consecutive monthly increase and totally different than the HSBC's China PMI number which came in at print ...

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Energy Market Comment - Faulty Oil

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Friday, March 30. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
It seems the market is faltering a bit as uncertainty reigns supreme. Yet the Supreme Leaders of Iran seemed to want to fan the flames of the bazaar bringing back an oil market that was overdone. The International Energy Agency and comments from Saudi Arabia weighed on prices. The IEA says that they stand ready to release supply if market conditions warrant, the market sold off on the comments but let’s face it, at this time market conditions do not warrant it.

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Energy Market Comment - Faulty Oil

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Friday, March 30. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
It seems the market is faltering a bit as uncertainty reigns supreme. Yet the Supreme Leaders of Iran seemed to want to fan the flames of the bazaar bringing back an oil market that was overdone. The International Energy Agency and comments from Saudi Arabia weighed on prices. The IEA says that they stand ready to release supply if market conditions warrant, the market sold off on the comments but let’s face it, at this time market conditions do not warrant it.

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Energy Market Comment - Where Gas Prices May be Hurting the Economy

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Thursday, March 29. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
The Energy Report for Thursday, March 29, 2012

There has been a lot of talk about a New York Times piece that seems to suggest that at least so far, record high gas prices have not hurt the economy. Perhaps not here but that may not be true in Europe as weak UK data helped send global oil markets tumbling. And oh yes, we had that story that the French may be joining the US and the UK in releasing oil from their strategic reserve and a build in oil inventory ...

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Energy Market Comment - Once in a Decade

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Wednesday, March 28. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
The Energy Report for Wednesday, March 28, 2012

Natural gas hit a decade low and shows us once again the cyclical nature of commodities. Back in 2002, the last time natural gas was this low, the market was still trying to come to grips with the post 9-11 slowdown. Yet behind the scenes there was increasing worries about natural gas which for years we had taken stable natural gas prices for granted. There was a movement towards cleaner burning natural gas and a ...

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Energy Market Comment - I Fought the Fed REDUX

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Tuesday, March 27. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
Here comes Ben with that big gun, I fought the Fed and the ... Fed won. I fought the Fed and the Fed and Won. They needed money so they printed some, I fought the Fed and The Fed won, I fought and the Fed and the Fed won. I thought the data was a launching pad, thought the race was won. Well Ben says the jobs market is bad, I fought the Fed and the Fed won. I fought the Fed and the Fed won. Rates will stay down until the Fed is done, I Fought the Fed and the Fed Won. I fought the Fed and the ...

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Energy Market Comment - All Dressed Up

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Monday, March 26. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
The oil market is all dressed up but has nowhere to go. Oil, that has a huge Iranian/Syria/ or country of your choice war premium built in, seems that until something happens will insist in trading in a range! Crude is giving back some of Friday's gains and seems to act like it has a destination but with nowhere to go.

Mario Monte is warning that Spain could be the next phase of the European debt crisis. The Trilby Lundberg says that it is possible that gas is topping out at ...

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Energy Market Comment - Gas Crazy

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Friday, March 23. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
Obama is now trying to re-write history and approve a pipeline that doesn’t need to be approved by him and vowing to cut through any red tape that actually does not exist. After listening to the President’s claims about oil over the last couple of days, I have come to the conclusion he does not really know much about energy. Not just yesterday's desperate attempt to deflect blame for his energy policies in Cushing, Oklahoma, but his comment earlier this month when he said that, “we ...

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Energy Market Comments - Crude Cassandra

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Thursday, March 22. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
The Energy Report First it was International Monetary Fund Christine Lagarde. Now it's Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke! Come on you prophets of doom; let us enjoy the economic recovery. Ok, I know that high oil prices could be a challenge to the global economic recovery but let’s face it many people have been feeling better about things. Well perhaps they had legitimate concerns that the market was getting to optimistic too soon. We saw Fed fund futures and bond yields start to rise encouraged ...

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Energy Market Comment - Shock and Awesome!

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Wednesday, March 21. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
The Saudis tried to shock and awe the oil market but you have to believe that the market will start asking what you are going to do for me in the future. Ali Naimi, the man I named the Fed Chairman of oil back in the early nineties, boasted to the market that they could increase their already near 30 year high production by a whopping 25%. They impressed the market with ithese claims that the market could be flooded with oil at anytime from old fields and new, and they claim that their oil ...

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The Energy Report - Oil Flows

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Tuesday, March 20. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
Oil Prices hit a three week high only to be rebuffed overnight by the thought of slowing in China, the possibility that Greece may need another bailout and perhaps, rising supply. Other than that we still have Iran and Syria worries in the back ground. Saudi Arabia is pumping up a desert storm sending massive supply to the US to either try to win favor with the Obama admistration or to cover for the possibility of an attack that may be in the works. The New York Times reported that the a ...

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The Energy Report - Still Bubbling Under the Surface

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Monday, March 19. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
While oil tries to decompress the truth is that it is still boiling underneath the surface. Speculation is running high that talk of an SPR release may be more than political but a preemptive strike before a conflict breakout with Iran. The Saudis are pledging to pump more oil but at the same time that raises the question of tightening spare capacity. Dow Jones is talking about oil at all time highs as” Concern about a thinning cushion of available oil, which is already less comfortable ...

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A wee bit of the blarney

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Friday, March 16. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
The Energy Report for Friday, March 16, 2012

It seems oil prices went on a wild ride after a wee bit of blarney sent oil falling faster than the sun going down on Galway Bay. A report from Reuters News cited two British sources that said Britain had decided to cooperate with the United States in a bilateral agreement to release strategic oil stocks in an effort to prevent high fuel prices rom derailing economic growth in a U.S. in an election year.

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Diesel Dump

Posted by Phil Flynn I PFG Best Research • Thursday, March 15. 2012 • Category: Rohstoffe
The Energy Report for Thursday, March 15th 2012

Beware the Ides of March and be aware of the drop in distillate inventories in this week’s oil inventory report. Even Julius Caesar himself might have reason to be concerned about Europe and their cold winter and concerns to rebuild supply ahead of an Iranian oil embargo. The Energy Information Administration reported that distillate fuel inventories dropped by 4.7 million barrels, much further than ...

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